Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.342220 16.197687 18.216620 20.578894 23.270116 26.244094 29.784449
2025-02-16 10.717253 12.982130 15.635065 18.980436 23.098597 28.017863 34.362933
2025-02-23 8.383679 10.800165 13.820886 17.892647 23.266130 30.153958 39.714736
2025-03-02 6.780288 9.233367 12.485843 17.145221 23.700742 32.671798 46.010026
2025-03-09 5.676503 8.132389 11.569181 16.777429 24.554878 35.870957 53.825050
2025-03-16 4.826779 7.242864 10.795405 16.465885 25.415310 39.205045 62.466265
2025-03-23 4.313910 6.761638 10.532737 16.856416 27.378979 44.512512 75.183929
2025-03-30 3.793899 6.186648 10.033209 16.781718 28.572450 48.779073 87.017526
2025-04-06 3.292745 5.565901 9.364501 16.310548 29.003744 51.812607 97.269322
2025-04-13 2.901956 5.072741 8.834214 15.985660 29.621197 55.252709 108.930371
2025-04-20 2.677868 4.837416 8.715024 16.376230 31.611992 61.566999 127.496464
2025-04-27 2.494159 4.648367 8.649705 16.851539 33.836133 68.709977 149.266051
2025-05-04 2.279231 4.378757 8.409574 16.975063 35.433764 74.996378 170.887491
2025-05-11 2.035378 4.020897 7.950652 16.584526 35.892369 78.966727 188.195445
2025-05-18 1.831624 3.716505 7.557857 16.273601 36.476794 83.342006 207.561434
2025-05-25 1.660385 3.456739 7.222239 16.035823 37.189789 88.162299 229.257308
2025-06-01 1.526662 3.259084 6.992020 16.000490 38.377636 94.366880 256.189976
2025-06-08 1.404580 3.071041 6.757624 15.918799 39.440201 100.474734 284.445100
2025-06-15 1.338609 2.999932 6.776559 16.451374 42.162275 111.469384 329.812740
2025-06-22 1.246055 2.855847 6.607169 16.488110 43.590051 119.257039 367.595728
2025-06-29 1.137592 2.660886 6.291573 16.100533 43.795219 123.653095 395.847442
2025-07-06 1.047460 2.499110 6.035952 15.831583 44.285780 128.984319 428.690485
2025-07-13 1.002127 2.442300 6.035023 16.255230 46.868971 141.195153 488.879686